The Rise of the Chinese Economy and Implications for Korea Chang-jae Lee, Chai-wook Chun, Hyun-jun Cho

The Chinese economy is expected to mature into one of the largest economies in the world in the 21st century. It is likely to grow by 6 7 percent per annum for the next 20 years. This moderately optimistic estimate is mainly based upon specific characteristics of China. China, for example, with a large population and vast territory, can maintain its growth potential by utilizing the existing regional differentials in developmental stage, and it can also sustain a high growth rate despite deterioration of the external environment by depending upon growth in domestic consumption.

The rise of the Chinese economy will present both an enormous challenge and a great opportunity to the Korean economy. Should Korea fail to restructure its economy in time, Korean goods will lose their market shares in the international markets to increasingly competitive Chinese goods. However, if Korea succeeds in its economic restructuring and deepening of its economic relations with China, the Chinese economy will provide Korean firms with a rapidly growing market and diverse investment opportunities.

序 言
要 約

Ⅰ 序 論

Ⅱ 中國經濟의 高度成長과 向後 課題
1. 改革/開放 이후 中國의 經濟發展
2. 持續的 成長을 위한 課題

Ⅲ 中國의 經濟大國化 展望
1. 中國經濟의 長期展望 시나리오
2. 주요 기관의 中國經濟 展望
3. 中國經濟 展望에 대한 평가
4. 中華經濟圈의 浮上

Ⅳ 韓國의 對應戰略
1. 中國經濟의 浮上이 韓國에 미치는 영향
2. 韓-中 經濟協力의 증진 방향
3. 韓國經濟의 高度化 및 國際化

參考文獻