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발간물

Charles E. Morrison and Marcus Noland eds.

  • Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation

    KIEP와 하와이 EWC(East-West Center)는 2014 Korea Dialogue Conference on Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation 주제하에 국제세미나를 공동개최한 바 있으며, 한․중․일․미 4개국 전문가들이 모여 북태평양 지역 국가의 거..

    Charles E. Morrison and Marcus Noland eds. 발간일 2015.05.15

    경제협력, 북한경제

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    목차

    Introduction and Overview 
    Affiliations of the Contributors 
    Keynote Address
    Are Mega Free Trade Agreements the Best Alternative for Advancing Global Trade Liberalization? / Cae-One Kim


    Session 1 Prospects for the Region’s Economies
     
    Assessing Macroeconomic Policies in the US in Response to the Great Recession / David J. Stockton
    Introduction 
    Key Characteristics of the Recession and Recovery 
    The Response of Monetary and Fiscal Policies 
    Prospects for US Macroeconomic Policies and the Implications for the Economy 
    Risks to the US Outlook and the Implications for the North Pacific Economies 
    Conclusions
     
    Challenges and Opportunities in China’s Economy / Wang Yijiang
    Introduction  
    Economic Challenges for China 
    New Opportunities 
    Concluding Remarks 


    Abenomics and Beyond: The Japanese Economy in the 2010s / Tokuo Iwaisako
    Introduction  
    Brief Chronology of Abenomics 
    Japan’s Macroeconomic Performance under Abenomics 
    Potential Dangers for Abenomics 
    Conclusion
     
    Prospects of the Korean Economy / Il Houng Lee and Seongman Moon
    Introduction  
    Searching for Lost Economic Growth in Korea 
    Reasons for the Decline in Domestic Demand Growth 
    Conclusion
     
    Commentary:
    Prospects for the Region’s Economies: Discussion on Session 1 Papers / Sang-Hyop Lee
    Report of the Session Rapporteur:
    Prospects for the Region’s Economies: Overview by Session Rapporteur / Michael G. Plummer


    Session 2 Pathways toward Trade and Investment Integration in the North Pacific Region 


    The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) as a Pathway to Asian Integration / Deborah Elms
    The Goal: Free-Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific (FTAAP)  
    Two of Four Pathways in Play 
    The Launch of the TPP 
    Specific Benefits of the TPP: Market Access for Goods 
    Additional TPP Provisions 
    Last-Minute Shaving of Quality? 
    TPP Timelines 
    TPP Institutional Framework 
    Trade and Investment Diversion Coming 
    Circling Back to the FTAAP
     
    The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP): Design, Status, and Challenges / Zhang Jianping and Nie Wei
    Status of RCEP Negotiations  
    Dilemma of RCEP Negotiations 
    Compared with TPP, Is RCEP More Welcomed by Developing Economies in the Asia‑Pacific Region? 
    Challenges of the RCEP under the Framework of Five “10+1” FTAs 
    General Perceptions or Concerns about FTAs in China 
    Implications of RCEP for FTAAP Proposals 
    Implications of the RCEP for the North Pacific Economies 
    Conclusion
     
    China–Japan–Korea Free Trade Agreement (CJK FTA): Design, Status, and Challenges / Dukgeun Ahn
    State of the Play of the CJK FTA  
    CJK Trade and Economic Assessment Result 
    Mega FTA Competition and CJK FTA 
    Issues for Negotiation 
    Challenges Ahead 


    Commentaries:
    Pathways toward Trade and Investment Integration in the North Pacific Region: Comments / Kiyoun Sohn
    Pathways toward Trade and Investment Integration in the North Pacific Region: Discussion of Papers Presented in Session 2 / Michael G. Plummer
    Report of the Session Rapporteur:
    Pathways toward Trade and Investment Integration in the North Pacific Region: Overview by Session 2 Rapporteur / Theresa M. Greaney


    Session 3 Assessing Economic and Social Change in North Korea 


    Can North Korea Follow China’s Path of Reform and Open Door Policy? / Zhou Huji
    China’s National Security, the Transformation of Political Concept and Open Door Policy  
    Kim Jong Il’s Political Ideas and Survival Strategy 
    “Songun Politics”: One of the Political Survival Strategies 
    Improved Leader Worship: One of the Political Survival Strategies 
    “7.1 Measures”: Economic Survival Strategies 
    Nuclear Development and Asymmetric Dampening: International Survival Strategy 
    Survival and Emerging from the Crisis: Conclusion and Discussion 


    Economic Developments in North Korea / Marcus Nolan
    Introduction  
    Internal Developments 
    External Relations 
    Illicit Activities 
    Conclusions
     
    The Current Situation and Future Prospects of the North Korean Economy / Dongho Jo
    Introduction  
    The Current Situation 
    The Reaction of the North Korean Leadership 
    The Future Prospects 


    Commentaries:
    Assessing Economic and Social Change in North Korea: Discussion on Session 3 Papers / Hyung-Gon Jeong
    Assessing the Economic and Social Change in North Korea: Discussion on Session 3 Papers / Nicholas Eberstadt
    Report of the Session Rapporteur:
    Assessing Economic and Social Change in North Korea: Overview by Session 3 Rapporteur / Anjali Nath


    Roundtable Discussion on Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation 
    North Pacific Integration from an International Financial Perspective / Hiroyuki Ito
    Introduction  
    Interest Rates Linkages and Their Implications on Monetary Policy Management  
    “Internationalization” of the Renminbi 
    Conclusion
     
    Comments Based on the Roundtable Discussion / Tokuo Iwaisako
    Comments Based on the Roundtable Discussion / Jong Seok Kim
    “The Asian Paradox” 
    The Limits of Bilateral Talks 
    The Need for Multilateral Dialogs 
    Soft Issues 
    Harmony in Diversity 


    Comments Based on the Roundtable Discussion / David J. Stockton
    The Global Influences of Half of the World: Comments on North Pacific Cooperation / Wang Yijiang
    Report of the Session Rapporteur
    Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation: Overview by Roundtable Rapporteur / Duyen Bui


    Conference Program
    Program 
    List of Participants

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    국문요약

    KIEP와 하와이 EWC(East-West Center)는 2014 Korea Dialogue Conference on Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation 주제하에 국제세미나를 공동개최한 바 있으며, 한․중․일․미 4개국 전문가들이 모여 북태평양 지역 국가의 거시경제와 경제통합의 현황 및 전망에 대해 토론하고, 북한 이슈에 대해 논의함으로써 지역경제의 안정과 발전을 위한 다각적 협력방안을 모색하였습니다.


     

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