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Exchange Rates, Shocks and Inter-Dependency in East Asia: Lessons from a Multinational Model financial crisis, capital market

Author Sophie Saglio, Yonghyup Oh, and Jacques Mazier Series 05-05 Language English Date 2005.12.30

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This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of international interdependency describing Korea, Japan, China, and the rest of East Asia in their relations with the United States and the rest of the world. (The rest is omitted.)
Executive Summary

I. Introduction

II. Trade Openness and Real Effective Exchange Rates in East Asia

III. A Macroeconomic Model for East Asian Economic Integration
1. Foreign trade
2. The model of internal demand
3. Adjustment representative parameters

IV. Symmetric and Asymmetric Shocks and Interdependency in East Asia
1. External symmetric shocks
2. Asymmetric shocks
3. A contribution to the analysis of East Asian exchange rate regimes

V. Conclusion

References

Annex 1. The Share of Intra and Extra Trade
Annex 2. The Calculations of Indicators
Annex 3. Main Econometric Results
Annex 4. Diffusion Effects

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