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The Illusive Quest for an Asian Common Currency: Economic Mirage or Realpolitik? financial integration

Author James H. Chan-Lee Series 05-05 Language English Date 2005.12.30

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The Asian Financial crisis underscored the folly of running fixed exchange rates, with an independent monetary policy, open capital accounts and volatile capital flows. Interest in an Asian Common Currency is growing, but the needed political commitment, institutions and market-based financial systems are absent. This paper benchmarks the quality of institutions and financial systems to assess the enigmatic roles of the Renminbi and Yen. A prioritized policy-matrix focused on building institutions and robust banking systems are outlined. Accelerated trade liberalization, economic co-operation and political integration are crucial before a joint float or a common currency can be envisaged realistically.
Executive Summary

I. Introduction

II. Post-Crisis Asia in Perspective
1. Systemic risk has been controlled
2. How relevant is the Euro to Asia

III. The Political Economy of a Common Currency
1. The Fund does not have the resources to help Asia in a crisis
2. The Economic case for an ACC

IV. Framing an Interim Strategy
1. Pragmatic first steps
2. Risk based sequencing

V. Summary and Conclusions

References

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